
Recent rainfall combined with warm temperatures has resulted in the melting of the snowpack and lake ice. This combined with forecasted precipitation and continued warm temperatures, will result in high water conditions as the freshet runoff moves through the system. This combined effect is causing the water levels and flows of the Ottawa River to rise significantly and may exceed flood levels in flood prone locations later this week. Water levels and flows upstream of Pembroke are expected to rise but remain below flood threshold levels at this time.
Residents that have been affected by high water and flow conditions in the past, should take necessary action to protect/secure any vulnerable property in proximity to rivers and lakes and closely monitor developing conditions and regularly check for updated messages.
The ministry is closely monitoring the weather and developing watershed conditions, further updates will be issued as appropriate.
Description of Weather System
Mild temperatures and rain are expected to continue over the next 2-week period. Air temperatures will remain consistently above freezing with consecutive days with daytime highs above 15°C forecast for this week.
Widespread rainfall is also anticipated, with total accumulations of approximately 30–60 mm over this period.
The MNR continues to closely monitor local lakes, rivers and weather conditions.
Levels and flows on the Ottawa River from Pembroke to Arnprior are expected to increase due to spring runoff from the central and northern parts of the basin, and the forecasted precipitation over the next few days. The snowpack melt in the northern part of the basin is expected to continue over the next week.
Flooding in low-lying areas is expected, and those areas currently experiencing high water levels or flooding can expect these conditions to continue. A close watch of local weather forecasts, special weather statements, and warnings is recommended
The Watershed Condition Statement – Flood Outlook for the remainder of Renfrew County remains in effect until April 17, 2026.
Aaron Foss, Pembroke District Office, 613-291-3613